Auto picker

Tomorrow's slate

Model's top moneyline picks across the next 36 hours, ranked by confidence. Auto-builds a combo from the highest-conviction legs.

See every ticket we've published, graded · $100-stake P/L per tier →

Honesty note: none of 7 picks below carry a real book price. Our odds provider's monthly request budget is used up, so no new prices are coming in until it resets or is raised. Every price shown is fair-value (1/modelProb) — useful for ranking, but do not use these prices to compute edge. Check your book's actual line before betting; you may have edge or you may not.

Suggested 3-leg combo

Combo prob:19.6%·Combo odds:5.09

1.Borussia Dortmund (Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07)

61.2%@1.63

2.Liverpool FC (Liverpool FC v Fulham FC)

57.1%@1.75

3.Crystal Palace FC (Crystal Palace FC v Ipswich Town FC)

56.1%@1.78

Combo math assumes leg independence. Each leg is on a different match (no correlated parlays). Both probabilities and odds are multiplied; expected value = combinedProb × comboOdds − 1 = 0.0% (collapses to ~0% on fair-value odds; real EV depends on the price you actually take.)

Daily ticket variants · 4 of 5

Auto-generated from the top 7 picks. Each variant targets a different point on the risk/reward curve. Per-match deduped — no correlated legs.

Balanced10.23x

Mix of high + medium conviction. The middle of the curve.

Hit prob (corr-adj)9.0%

EV after vig-28%

Suggested stake—

⚠ Has a leg kicking off > 24h out — odds + lineups may drift before kickoff.

1.Borussia Dortmund41pp61% @ 1.63
2.Liverpool FC34pp57% @ 1.75
3.Crystal Palace FC34pp56% @ 1.78
4.SC Freiburg22pp50% @ 2.01

Aggressive18.74x

More legs, lower individual confidence. Higher variance.

Hit prob (corr-adj)5.1%

EV after vig-28%

Suggested stake—

⚠ Has a leg kicking off > 24h out — odds + lineups may drift before kickoff.

1.Aston Villa FC27pp52% @ 1.91
2.SC Freiburg22pp50% @ 2.01
3.Sevilla FC16pp46% @ 2.19
4.1. FC Köln16pp45% @ 2.22

Longshot42.93x

Maximum payoff. Likely loses but a single hit pays the week.

Hit prob (corr-adj)2.1%

EV after vig-39%

Suggested stake—

⚠ Has a leg kicking off > 24h out — odds + lineups may drift before kickoff.

1.Borussia Dortmund41pp61% @ 1.63
2.Liverpool FC34pp57% @ 1.75
3.Crystal Palace FC34pp56% @ 1.78
4.Aston Villa FC27pp52% @ 1.91
5.SC Freiburg22pp50% @ 2.01
6.Sevilla FC16pp46% @ 2.19

Best calibrated5.09x

Highest combined probability across all combinations in the 5–50x window. The 'most-likely-to-hit' multi-leg.

Hit prob (corr-adj)18.9%

EV after vig-22%

Suggested stake—

⚠ Has a leg kicking off > 24h out — odds + lineups may drift before kickoff.

1.Borussia Dortmund41pp61% @ 1.63
2.Liverpool FC34pp57% @ 1.75
3.Crystal Palace FC34pp56% @ 1.78

Football · 7 picks

Sat 13:30·footballModerate

Borussia Dortmund · Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07

61%@1.63FV

Sat 14:00·footballHigh

Liverpool FC · Liverpool FC v Fulham FC

57%@1.75FV

Sat 14:00·footballHigh

Crystal Palace FC · Crystal Palace FC v Ipswich Town FC

56%@1.78FV

Sat 14:00·footballModerate

Aston Villa FC · Aston Villa FC v Nottingham Forest FC

52%@1.91FV

Sat 13:30·footballModerate

SC Freiburg · SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach

50%@2.01FV

Fri 19:00·footballModerate

Sevilla FC · Sevilla FC v Valencia CF

46%@2.19FV

Sat 16:30·footballModerate

1. FC Köln · 1. FC Köln v SV Werder Bremen

45%@2.22FV

Showing matches in the next 36 hours that already have a cached model analysis. Click a pick to open the full match page with ratings, news, and saved-pick controls.