BetSetGo — probability-first sports betting model with a transparent, graded track record
Live · paper-trading bankroll · quarter-Kelly stakes · Independent of any book
Total return · paper bankroll · 105 tennis picks · 32 days
-13.4%
Hit rate · 922 events
54.3%
Closing line value · 105 priced picks
-0.6%
These three figures cover the live published model only. Hit rate is 922 graded events; the return and CLV above it are a separate, smaller population — 105 tennis picks · 32 days, which is what the bot staked rather than everything it forecast. The much larger sample on the accuracy page also scores the walk-forward floor, which is the model without news or calibration. Two populations, not two answers.
A model that prices fixtures the way the books do, runs all day across every major league, and shows you where its number disagrees with theirs. Every bet is graded. Every prediction is shown. No hype.
▸ Live · today
35calls
0right
0wrong
35pending
0.62Brier · football · 563 events · naive 0.67
▸ AI ticket · today3 legs+7158.8% edgeauto-selected · spread heuristic · model probabilities
The model's combo for today. Quarter-Kelly stake on a $1,000 bankroll.
- 01+613.7%35.78tennis · Moneyline — Nadia Podoroska
- 02+257.0%14.59tennis · Moneyline — Dane Sweeny
- 03+210.1%8.30tennis · Moneyline — Eva Lys
The receipt · paper-trading bankroll, 193 snapshots
Max DD −39.6%
▸ Live edges
7 fixtures priced wrong this hour · scanning 15
LgFixturePickBest priceImpliedModelEdge
TEN3.4429.1%34.9%+23.0%FOO1.7656.8%58.6%+7.3%TEN4.0424.8%39.6%+63.6%FOO4.0224.9%35.1%+45.7%FOO7.6913.0%32.8%+162.6%TEN7.0314.2%30.7%+122.0%TEN7.6913.0%30.6%+142.7%Calibration · ±19.8pts max bucket deviation across 922 eventsSee all on the Board →
Track it yourself. Save picks, watch the curve for thirty days. Decide.
betsetgo · Independent · Affiliated with no sportsbook · 18+ · Built by nvision-data