Model probabilities Novak Djokovic 90.3% · Rinky Hijikata 9.7% Why Novak Djokovic is favoured Novak Djokovic's Elo (1916) is +408 over Rinky Hijikata (1509); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 94.3% home · Platt-calibrated down to 90.3% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.