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- $1000.00
- Today
- +0.00
- Risk
- 0.0%
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- 7-day
- +0.00
Daily ticket history
Every variant ticket the auto-picker has generated, graded after kickoff. Hit rate is won ÷ decided; P/L assumes a flat $100 stake per ticket. Pending and void tickets are excluded from the P/L until they settle. No cherry-picking.
Overall
Calibration signals
The auto-calibrator walks per-tier ROI weekly. Tiers with sustained losing P/L get tightened (higher prob floor, narrower odds window); tiers with heavy losing P/L get disabled. Acts only on samples ≥30 — below that, variance dominates.
| Tier | Status | Recommendation | Sample | ROI | Effective override | Last calibrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe | default | insufficient data Need 23 more graded tickets before calibrating (7/30). | 7 | -18.0% | code defaults | — |
| Balanced | default | insufficient data Need 21 more graded tickets before calibrating (9/30). | 9 | 11.1% | code defaults | — |
| Best calibrated | default | insufficient data Need 18 more graded tickets before calibrating (12/30). | 12 | 32.5% | code defaults | — |
| Aggressive | default | insufficient data Need 22 more graded tickets before calibrating (8/30). | 8 | 127.6% | code defaults | — |
| Longshot | default | insufficient data Need 25 more graded tickets before calibrating (5/30). | 5 | -100.0% | code defaults | — |
By tier
| Tier | Tickets | Decided | W / L | Hit rate | Avg odds | Staked | Returned | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe | 11 | 7 | 4 / 3 | 57% | 2.09x | $700 | $574 | −$126 | -18% |
| Balanced | 17 | 9 | 1 / 8 | 11% | 10.61x | $900 | $1,000 | +$100 | 11% |
| Best calibrated | 21 | 12 | 3 / 9 | 25% | 5.92x | $1,200 | $1,591 | +$391 | 33% |
| Aggressive | 16 | 8 | 1 / 7 | 13% | 18.30x | $800 | $1,821 | +$1,021 | 128% |
| Longshot | 11 | 5 | 0 / 5 | 0% | 35.28x | $500 | $0 | −$500 | -100% |
Staked / Returned / Net assume a flat $100 per ticket. Pending and void tickets are excluded from those columns until they settle.
Recent tickets
| Date | Tier | Legs | Odds | Implied | Result | $100 P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Longshot | 6 | 52.11x | 2% | pending | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.69x | 18% | pending | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Aggressive | 4 | 19.17x | 5% | pending | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Balanced | 4 | 11.90x | 8% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-31 | Balanced | 4 | 14.81x | 7% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-31 | Best calibrated | 3 | 7.11x | 14% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-28 | Best calibrated | 3 | 7.15x | 14% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-27 | Best calibrated | 3 | 9.20x | 11% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-26 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.89x | 17% | WON | +$489 |
| 2026-05-26 | Balanced | 4 | 13.09x | 8% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-24 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.02x | 20% | WON | +$402 |
| 2026-05-24 | Safe | 1 | 1.47x | 68% | WON | +$47 |
| 2026-05-24 | Balanced | 4 | 10.01x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-24 | Longshot | 6 | 32.01x | 3% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-24 | Aggressive | 4 | 18.00x | 6% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-23 | Safe | 1 | 1.41x | 71% | WON | +$41 |
| 2026-05-23 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.00x | 6% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-23 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.00x | 20% | WON | +$400 |
| 2026-05-23 | Longshot | 6 | 32.02x | 3% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-23 | Balanced | 5 | 10.00x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-20 | Longshot | 5 | 36.79x | 3% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aggressive | 4 | 18.12x | 6% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-20 | Best calibrated | 3 | 7.62x | 13% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-19 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.01x | 20% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-19 | Aggressive | 5 | 18.21x | 5% | WON | +$1,721 |
| 2026-05-19 | Balanced | 4 | 10.03x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-19 | Longshot | 5 | 32.75x | 3% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-17 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.01x | 20% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-17 | Longshot | 6 | 32.02x | 3% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-17 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.00x | 6% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-17 | Balanced | 5 | 10.01x | 10% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-17 | Safe | 1 | 1.43x | 70% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-16 | Best calibrated | 4 | 5.01x | 20% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-16 | Safe | 1 | 1.43x | 70% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-16 | Balanced | 5 | 10.01x | 10% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-16 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.00x | 6% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.01x | 20% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-15 | Balanced | 5 | 10.16x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.00x | 6% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-13 | Aggressive | 5 | 20.01x | 5% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-13 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.09x | 20% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-13 | Balanced | 5 | 10.16x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-13 | Safe | 1 | 1.46x | 69% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-12 | Best calibrated | 5 | 5.00x | 20% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-12 | Safe | 1 | 1.46x | 69% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-11 | Aggressive | 5 | 18.00x | 6% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-11 | Best calibrated | 3 | 5.03x | 20% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-11 | Longshot | 5 | 32.01x | 3% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-11 | Balanced | 4 | 10.01x | 10% | LOST | −$100 |
| 2026-05-10 | Safe | 1 | 1.44x | 69% | WON | +$44 |
| 2026-05-10 | Best calibrated | 4 | 5.01x | 20% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-10 | Balanced | 5 | 10.00x | 10% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-10 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.01x | 6% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-10 | Longshot | 6 | 32.02x | 3% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-09 | Safe | 1 | 1.42x | 70% | WON | +$42 |
| 2026-05-09 | Balanced | 6 | 10.00x | 10% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-09 | Best calibrated | 4 | 5.00x | 20% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-09 | Aggressive | 6 | 18.02x | 6% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Balanced | 6 | 10.00x | 10% | pending | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Safe | 1 | 1.42x | 70% | pending | — |
Showing the 60 most recent tickets. Older history is included in the per-tier aggregates above.
Reading this honestly
- Hit rate stabilises around ~30 graded tickets per tier. Below that, variance dominates the number; don't over-read the tier with 3 tickets.
- A negative ROI on Longshot is expected — that tier is a variance play. The honest test is total ROI across all tiers, not whether Longshot loses money individually.
- Safe is now a single-leg high-confidence pick — no parlay vig stacking. The old 4-leg-Safe was a sucker bet; this version is what "safe" actually means.