Model probabilities Thiago Agustin Tirante 70.6% · Jan-Lennard Struff 29.4% Why Thiago Agustin Tirante is favoured Thiago Agustin Tirante's Elo (1621) is +110 over Jan-Lennard Struff (1511); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 75.1% home · Platt-calibrated down to 70.6% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.