Portland Trail Blazers
vs Phoenix Suns_

▸ Sealed before kickoff13h before kickoff2026-10-21 13:02 UTC

High confidence

ratings essentially level · strong sample · confident top pick

Form & matchup

Portland Trail Blazers

Elo 1558

WLWLL

Phoenix Suns

Elo 1501

WLLWL

vs Oklahoma City Thunder116–107
vs Washington Wizards122–134
@ Golden State Warriors101–109
vs New York Knicks109–92
vs Atlanta Hawks100–123

Rating edge

Portland Trail Blazers +56

Confidence: 100%

Head to head

No prior meetings on file.

Rest days

Portland Trail Blazers

–

Phoenix Suns

–

Model probability

v0.1.0-elo-logistic · 10/21/2026, 1:02:13 PM

Portland Trail Blazers

76.9%

Phoenix Suns

23.1%

Game total

Over/Under 215.5 total points
Projected 229.0 pts
—
Model
80.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 220.5 total points
Projected 229.0 pts
—
Model
70.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 225.5 total points
Projected 229.0 pts
—
Model
58.9%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 230.5 total points
Projected 229.0 pts
—
Model
46.1%
Over
–
Under
–

Team totals

Home team over 105.5
Team μ 113.9
—
Model
77.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 110.5
Team μ 113.9
—
Model
62.1%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 115.5
Team μ 113.9
—
Model
44.2%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 120.5
Team μ 113.9
—
Model
27.4%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 105.5
Team μ 115.1
—
Model
80.8%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 110.5
Team μ 115.1
—
Model
66.1%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 115.5
Team μ 115.1
—
Model
48.5%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 120.5
Team μ 115.1
—
Model
31.1%
Over
–
Under
–

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Reasoning

Model probabilities
  Portland Trail Blazers 76.9% · Phoenix Suns 23.1%

Why Portland Trail Blazers is favoured
  Portland Trail Blazers's Elo (1558) is +56 over Phoenix Suns (1501); high confidence.
  Recent: Portland Trail Blazers 4W-6L · Phoenix Suns 5W-5L (last 10).
  Point differential per game: Portland Trail Blazers -5.6, Phoenix Suns -2.8.

Form depth
  Portland Trail Blazers: avg 113.0 pts scored, 118.6 conceded per game (4/8 at home, 0/2 on the road).
  Phoenix Suns: avg 112.2 pts scored, 115.0 conceded per game (4/8 at home, 1/2 on the road).

Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.

Portland Trail Blazersvs Phoenix Suns_

Form & matchup

Portland Trail Blazers

Phoenix Suns

Game total

Team totals

Reasoning

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