San Antonio Spurs
vs Houston Rockets_

▸ Sealed before kickoff5.0h before kickoff2026-10-23 20:31 UTC

High confidence

clear rating gap · strong sample · confident top pick

Form & matchup

San Antonio Spurs

Elo 1877

WLLWL

Houston Rockets

Elo 1654

LLWLL

vs Atlanta Hawks98–99
vs Atlanta Hawks105–123
@ Oklahoma City Thunder121–114
vs Oklahoma City Thunder110–117
@ Golden State Warriors126–137

Rating edge

San Antonio Spurs +224

Confidence: 100%

Head to head

No prior meetings on file.

Rest days

San Antonio Spurs

–

Houston Rockets

–

Model probability

v0.1.0-elo-logistic · 10/23/2026, 8:31:19 PM

San Antonio Spurs

91.5%

Houston Rockets

8.5%

Game total

Over/Under 215.5 total points
Projected 231.1 pts
—
Model
84.3%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 220.5 total points
Projected 231.1 pts
—
Model
75.3%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 225.5 total points
Projected 231.1 pts
—
Model
64.2%
Over
–
Under
–
Over/Under 230.5 total points
Projected 231.1 pts
—
Model
51.7%
Over
–
Under
–

Team totals

Home team over 105.5
Team μ 115.9
—
Model
82.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 110.5
Team μ 115.9
—
Model
68.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 115.5
Team μ 115.9
—
Model
51.4%
Over
–
Under
–
Home team over 120.5
Team μ 115.9
—
Model
33.7%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 105.5
Team μ 115.3
—
Model
81.3%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 110.5
Team μ 115.3
—
Model
66.8%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 115.5
Team μ 115.3
—
Model
49.2%
Over
–
Under
–
Away team over 120.5
Team μ 115.3
—
Model
31.7%
Over
–
Under
–

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Reasoning

Model probabilities
  San Antonio Spurs 91.6% · Houston Rockets 8.4%

Why San Antonio Spurs is favoured
  San Antonio Spurs's Elo (1877) is +224 over Houston Rockets (1654); high confidence.
  Recent: San Antonio Spurs 4W-6L · Houston Rockets 2W-8L (last 10).
  Point differential per game: San Antonio Spurs -3.3, Houston Rockets -4.8.

Form depth
  San Antonio Spurs: avg 113.4 pts scored, 116.7 conceded per game (3/4 at home, 1/6 on the road).
  Houston Rockets: avg 114.1 pts scored, 118.9 conceded per game (1/8 at home, 1/2 on the road).
  San Antonio Spurs on a 2-match winning streak.

Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.

San Antonio Spursvs Houston Rockets_

Form & matchup

San Antonio Spurs

Houston Rockets

Game total

Team totals

Reasoning

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San Antonio Spurs
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