Model probabilities Atlanta Hawks 97.5% · Washington Wizards 2.5% Why Atlanta Hawks is favoured Atlanta Hawks's Elo (1565) is +447 over Washington Wizards (1118); high confidence. Recent: Atlanta Hawks 0W-10L · Washington Wizards 2W-8L (last 10). Point differential per game: Atlanta Hawks -0.6, Washington Wizards -8.1. Form depth Atlanta Hawks: avg 18.4 pts scored, 19.0 conceded per game (0/4 at home, 0/6 on the road). Washington Wizards: avg 99.2 pts scored, 107.3 conceded per game (2/5 at home, 0/5 on the road). Atlanta Hawks on a 10-match losing streak. Washington Wizards on a 5-match losing streak. But — counter-arguments Washington Wizards has a stronger recent record (20% vs 0%) — model favours Atlanta Hawks on Elo + home advantage despite the form gap.