Model probabilities Coco Gauff 68.3% · Marie Bouzkova 31.7% Why Coco Gauff is favoured Coco Gauff's Elo (1905) is +257 over Marie Bouzkova (1648); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 87.8% home · Platt-calibrated down to 68.3% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.