▸ Sealed before kickoff2.6h before kickoff2026-08-02 13:32 UTC· result settled — verifiable
73%
High confidence
modest rating gap · strong sample · confident top pick
How the model did
Final
2 — 0
Moyuka Uchijima won
✕ Model was wrong
Model assigned
16.2%
to moyuka uchijima
Model's top pick
away
top probability
Brier (↓ better)
1.405
Log loss (↓ better)
1.821
Graded Aug 3, 2026 · 04:02
Form & matchup
Moyuka Uchijima
Elo 1393
No recent matches on file.
Cristina Bucsa
Elo 1524
No recent matches on file.
Rating edge
Cristina Bucsa +131
Confidence: 100%
Head to head
No prior meetings on file.
Rest days
Moyuka Uchijima
–
Cristina Bucsa
–
Model probability
v0.1.0-elo-logistic ·
Moyuka Uchijima
16.2%
Cristina Bucsa
83.8%
0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden
News context not yet populated for this match. Click Regenerate below to run a fresh Gemini grounded-search pass — costs one API call.
Reasoning
Model probabilities
Moyuka Uchijima 16.2% · Cristina Bucsa 83.8%
Why Cristina Bucsa is favoured
Cristina Bucsa's Elo (1566) is +196 over Moyuka Uchijima (1369); high confidence.
Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.