Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
To win
+$23.80
Total payout
$43.80
Joint prob
49.9%
Combined odds
2.19
Fair odds
2.00
Edge
+9.3%
Expected value: +$1.86 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$1.86 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 49.9% · fair market: 44.4% · edge: +12.4%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is set to compete in the ATP Canadian Open, known for his strong serving power. His coach, Greg Rusedski, has been in the news recently discussing other players' injuries, but no recent updates on Mpetshi Perricard's own form or fitness have emerged within the last seven days.
Lineup: Expected to start in the Canadian Open match against Botic van de Zandschulp.
Botic van de Zandschulp enters the Canadian Open with a recent record of two wins and three losses in his last five matches. He is noted for his serving power, which could pose a challenge in the tournament.
Lineup: Expected to start in the Canadian Open match against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
“Mpetshi Perricard and van de Zandschulp set for Canadian Open clash, with van de Zandschulp looking to rebound from recent losses.”
Model probabilities Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 49.9% · Botic van de Zandschulp 50.1% Why Botic van de Zandschulp is favoured Elo essentially level (1570 vs 1572) — winner depends on context. +EV vs market home: model 49.9% vs market 44.4% (edge +12.4%, suggested Kelly +7.8% of bankroll). News context Mpetshi Perricard and van de Zandschulp set for Canadian Open clash, with van de Zandschulp looking to rebound from recent losses. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is set to compete in the ATP Canadian Open, known for his strong serving power. His coach, Greg Rusedski, has been in the news recently discussing other players' injuries, but no recent updates on Mpetshi Perricard's own form or fitness have emerged within the last seven days. Botic van de Zandschulp: Botic van de Zandschulp enters the Canadian Open with a recent record of two wins and three losses in his last five matches. He is noted for his serving power, which could pose a challenge in the tournament.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.