Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Elena Rybakina
To win
+$5.60
Total payout
$25.60
Joint prob
92.7%
Combined odds
1.28
Fair odds
1.08
Edge
+18.7%
Expected value: +$3.74 on a $20 stake.
No material integrity, morale, or squad-news flags found in the last 14 days.
Expected value: +$3.74 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 92.7% · fair market: 75.7% · edge: +22.5%
Liudmila Samsonova has advanced to the Round of 16 at the WTA Canadian Open after a series of strong performances, including a tough three-set victory in her most recent match. She is demonstrating solid form on hard courts, extending a good run of play into this tournament.
Lineup: Liudmila Samsonova is confirmed to play against Elena Rybakina in the Round of 16 of the WTA Canadian Open in Toronto.
Elena Rybakina, the world number two and reigning Australian Open champion, has successfully advanced to the Round of 16 at the WTA Canadian Open. Despite some inconsistency in her previous match, she remains a strong contender and a favorite in the tournament.
Lineup: Elena Rybakina is confirmed to play against Liudmila Samsonova in the Round of 16 of the WTA Canadian Open in Toronto.
“Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova set for Canadian Open Round of 16 clash after strong performances in Toronto.”
Model probabilities Liudmila Samsonova 7.3% · Elena Rybakina 92.7% Why Elena Rybakina is favoured Elena Rybakina's Elo (1965) is +360 over Liudmila Samsonova (1604); high confidence. +EV vs market away: model 92.7% vs market 75.7% (edge +22.5%, suggested Kelly +25.0% of bankroll). News context Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova set for Canadian Open Round of 16 clash after strong performances in Toronto. Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova has advanced to the Round of 16 at the WTA Canadian Open after a series of strong performances, including a tough three-set victory in her most recent match. She is demonstrating solid form on hard courts, extending a good run of play into this tournament. Elena Rybakina: Elena Rybakina, the world number two and reigning Australian Open champion, has successfully advanced to the Round of 16 at the WTA Canadian Open. Despite some inconsistency in her previous match, she remains a strong contender and a favorite in the tournament.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.