▸ Sealed before kickoff10h before kickoff2026-08-12 15:02 UTC
14%
Low confidence
ratings essentially level · thin sample · leaning but close
Form & matchup
Lilli Tagger
Elo 1500
No recent matches on file.
Robin Montgomery
Elo 1483
No recent matches on file.
Rating edge
Lilli Tagger +17
Confidence: 0%
Head to head
No prior meetings on file.
Rest days
Lilli Tagger
–
Robin Montgomery
–
Model probability
v0.1.0-elo-logistic ·
Lilli Tagger
40.4%
Robin Montgomery
59.6%
0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden
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Reasoning
Model probabilities
Lilli Tagger 40.4% · Robin Montgomery 59.6%
Calibration
Raw model: 55.2% home · Platt-calibrated down to 40.4% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.
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