Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Tamara Korpatsch
To win
+$28.20
Total payout
$48.20
Joint prob
62.3%
Combined odds
2.41
Fair odds
1.61
Edge
+50.0%
Expected value: +$10.01 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$10.01 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 62.3% · fair market: 40.2% · edge: +54.9%
Renata Zarazua enters the WTA Canadian Open as an alternate, following a strong performance that saw her reach the semifinals in Memphis. She will be looking to carry that momentum into this WTA 1000 event.
Lineup: Expected to start in the first round against Tamara Korpatsch.
Tamara Korpatsch enters the WTA Canadian Open as an alternate, fresh off winning the WTA 250 Hamburg title, which propelled her into the Top 50 for the first time in her career. She is currently in excellent form.
Lineup: Expected to start in the first round against Renata Zarazua.
“Tamara Korpatsch, fresh off a WTA 250 title win, faces Renata Zarazua, who had a strong semifinal run in Memphis, in a compelling first-round match at the WTA Canadian Open.”
Model probabilities Renata Zarazua 37.7% · Tamara Korpatsch 62.3% Why Tamara Korpatsch is favoured Tamara Korpatsch's Elo (1517) is +42 over Renata Zarazua (1475); high confidence. +EV vs market away: model 62.3% vs market 40.2% (edge +54.9%, suggested Kelly +25.0% of bankroll). News context Tamara Korpatsch, fresh off a WTA 250 title win, faces Renata Zarazua, who had a strong semifinal run in Memphis, in a compelling first-round match at the WTA Canadian Open. Renata Zarazua: Renata Zarazua enters the WTA Canadian Open as an alternate, following a strong performance that saw her reach the semifinals in Memphis. She will be looking to carry that momentum into this WTA 1000 event. Tamara Korpatsch: Tamara Korpatsch enters the WTA Canadian Open as an alternate, fresh off winning the WTA 250 Hamburg title, which propelled her into the Top 50 for the first time in her career. She is currently in excellent form.