Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Belinda Bencic
To win
+$7.00
Total payout
$27.00
Joint prob
77.2%
Combined odds
1.35
Fair odds
1.30
Edge
+4.2%
Expected value: +$0.84 on a $20 stake.
No material integrity, morale, or squad-news flags found in the last 14 days.
Expected value: +$0.84 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 77.2% · fair market: 72.3% · edge: +6.7%
Taylor Townsend has started her WTA Canadian Open campaign strongly, securing two wins in the lead-up to this match. She is looking to continue her momentum in the tournament.
Lineup: N/A
Belinda Bencic enters this match at the WTA Canadian Open following a solid win in her previous round. She has shown good form recently, recovering from an ankle injury earlier in the season.
Lineup: N/A
“Bencic and Townsend clash at WTA Canadian Open after strong starts in the tournament.”
Model probabilities Taylor Townsend 22.8% · Belinda Bencic 77.2% Why Belinda Bencic is favoured Belinda Bencic's Elo (1788) is +126 over Taylor Townsend (1662); high confidence. +EV vs market away: model 77.2% vs market 72.3% (edge +6.7%, suggested Kelly +12.0% of bankroll). News context Bencic and Townsend clash at WTA Canadian Open after strong starts in the tournament. Taylor Townsend: Taylor Townsend has started her WTA Canadian Open campaign strongly, securing two wins in the lead-up to this match. She is looking to continue her momentum in the tournament. Belinda Bencic: Belinda Bencic enters this match at the WTA Canadian Open following a solid win in her previous round. She has shown good form recently, recovering from an ankle injury earlier in the season.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.