Model probabilities Sorana Cirstea 55.1% · Nikola Bartunkova 44.9% Why Sorana Cirstea is favoured Sorana Cirstea's Elo (1755) is +170 over Nikola Bartunkova (1585); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 81.7% home · Platt-calibrated down to 55.1% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.