▸ Sealed before kickoff3.3h before kickoff2026-08-05 14:01 UTC· result settled — verifiable
94%
High confidence
clear rating gap · strong sample · confident top pick
How the model did
Final
1 — 2
Tallon Griekspoor won
✕ Model was wrong
Model assigned
10.6%
to tallon griekspoor
Model's top pick
home
top probability
Brier (↓ better)
1.599
Log loss (↓ better)
2.245
Graded Aug 6, 2026 · 04:01
Form & matchup
Alexander Zverev
Elo 1883
No recent matches on file.
Tallon Griekspoor
Elo 1636
No recent matches on file.
Rating edge
Alexander Zverev +247
Confidence: 100%
Head to head
No prior meetings on file.
Rest days
Alexander Zverev
–
Tallon Griekspoor
–
Model probability
v0.1.0-elo-logistic ·
Alexander Zverev
89.4%
Tallon Griekspoor
10.6%
0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden
News context not yet populated for this match. Click Regenerate below to run a fresh Gemini grounded-search pass — costs one API call.
Reasoning
Model probabilities
Alexander Zverev 89.4% · Tallon Griekspoor 10.6%
Why Alexander Zverev is favoured
Alexander Zverev's Elo (1905) is +285 over Tallon Griekspoor (1620); high confidence.
Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.