Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Oksana Selekhmeteva
To win
+$34.00
Total payout
$54.00
Joint prob
51.2%
Combined odds
2.70
Fair odds
1.95
Edge
+38.2%
Expected value: +$7.64 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$7.64 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 51.2% · fair market: 36.2% · edge: +41.5%
Model probabilities Oksana Selekhmeteva 51.2% · Kamilla Rakhimova 48.8% Why Oksana Selekhmeteva is favoured Oksana Selekhmeteva's Elo (1510) is +48 over Kamilla Rakhimova (1462); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 63.7% home · Platt-calibrated down to 51.2% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches. +EV vs market home: model 51.2% vs market 36.2% (edge +41.5%, suggested Kelly +22.5% of bankroll).