Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Maya Joint
To win
+$37.60
Total payout
$57.60
Joint prob
48.0%
Combined odds
2.88
Fair odds
2.08
Edge
+38.1%
Expected value: +$7.63 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$7.63 on a $20 stake.
Market: Betfair ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 48.0% · fair market: 32.9% · edge: +45.9%
Maya Joint recently secured her highest-ranked win of the season by upsetting 14th seed Sorana Cîrstea at the Canadian Open, matching her best WTA 1000 event showing. This victory signifies a positive turnaround in her WTA Tour season after an earlier 11-match losing streak.
Lineup: Maya Joint is expected to start in the upcoming match against Liudmila Samsonova.
Liudmila Samsonova has continued her strong run of form by defeating Barbora Krejčíková in straight sets at the National Bank Open, marking one of her most significant hard-court wins this season. This victory further solidifies her improving hard-court profile and momentum in the tournament.
Lineup: Liudmila Samsonova is scheduled to play her next match against Maya Joint in Toronto.
“Maya Joint and Liudmila Samsonova enter Canadian Open clash with strong recent performances.”
Model probabilities Maya Joint 48.0% · Liudmila Samsonova 52.0% Why Liudmila Samsonova is favoured Elo essentially level (1583 vs 1588) — winner depends on context. +EV vs market home: model 48.0% vs market 32.9% (edge +45.9%, suggested Kelly +20.3% of bankroll). News context Maya Joint and Liudmila Samsonova enter Canadian Open clash with strong recent performances. Maya Joint: Maya Joint recently secured her highest-ranked win of the season by upsetting 14th seed Sorana Cîrstea at the Canadian Open, matching her best WTA 1000 event showing. This victory signifies a positive turnaround in her WTA Tour season after an earlier 11-match losing streak. Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova has continued her strong run of form by defeating Barbora Krejčíková in straight sets at the National Bank Open, marking one of her most significant hard-court wins this season. This victory further solidifies her improving hard-court profile and momentum in the tournament.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.