Model probabilities Lucrezia Stefanini 46.6% · Leolia Jeanjean 53.4% Why Leolia Jeanjean is favoured Lucrezia Stefanini's Elo (1439) is +68 over Leolia Jeanjean (1371); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 68.0% home · Platt-calibrated down to 46.6% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.