Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 80.0% · fair market: 79.4% · edge: +0.7%
Fifth seed Mirra Andreeva, the reigning French Open champion, had a strong start to the year but experienced an underwhelming grass season. She is looking to regain her form at the Canadian Open after a disappointing run of recent tournaments.
Lineup: Andreeva received a first-round bye and advanced to the second round via a walkover.
Former World No. 1 Karolina Pliskova has been steadily climbing the rankings this season, starting outside the top 1000 and now within the top 70. She secured a straight-sets victory in her first-round match at the Canadian Open.
Lineup: Pliskova won her first-round match against Oleksandra Oliynykova 6-4, 6-4. She gained direct entry into the main draw due to Victoria Mboko's withdrawal.
“Mirra Andreeva seeks to rebound from grass-court struggles against in-form Karolina Pliskova at WTA Canadian Open.”
Model probabilities Mirra Andreeva 80.0% · Karolina Pliskova 20.0% Why Mirra Andreeva is favoured Mirra Andreeva's Elo (1802) is +154 over Karolina Pliskova (1648); high confidence. Market check No +EV edge — book has the price right at these odds. News context Mirra Andreeva seeks to rebound from grass-court struggles against in-form Karolina Pliskova at WTA Canadian Open. Mirra Andreeva: Fifth seed Mirra Andreeva, the reigning French Open champion, had a strong start to the year but experienced an underwhelming grass season. She is looking to regain her form at the Canadian Open after a disappointing run of recent tournaments. Karolina Pliskova: Former World No. 1 Karolina Pliskova has been steadily climbing the rankings this season, starting outside the top 1000 and now within the top 70. She secured a straight-sets victory in her first-round match at the Canadian Open.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.