Model probabilities Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 36.7% · Kyrian Jacquet 63.3% Why Kyrian Jacquet is favoured Kyrian Jacquet's Elo (1490) is +11 over Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1479); medium confidence. Calibration Raw model: 46.8% home · Platt-calibrated down to 36.7% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.