Model probabilities Anastasia Potapova 25.4% · Amanda Anisimova 74.6% Why Amanda Anisimova is favoured Amanda Anisimova's Elo (1826) is +199 over Anastasia Potapova (1628); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 16.0% home · Platt-calibrated up to 25.4% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.