Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Emma Navarro
To win
+$16.00
Total payout
$36.00
Joint prob
63.3%
Combined odds
1.80
Fair odds
1.58
Edge
+14.0%
Expected value: +$2.80 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$2.80 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 63.3% · fair market: 54.0% · edge: +17.3%
Alina Korneeva recently advanced to the second round of the Canadian Open after her opponent retired, showcasing strong form. The 19-year-old has been performing well, having secured a WTA 125 title earlier this year and reaching a semi-final last month.
Lineup: Korneeva successfully navigated the qualifying rounds to enter the main draw of the Canadian Open and is expected to start in the second round.
Emma Navarro received a bye in the first round of the Canadian Open, entering the tournament fresh. Her form has significantly improved after taking time off earlier in the year due to undisclosed health struggles, recently securing her second WTA Tour title.
Lineup: Navarro received a first-round bye in the Canadian Open and is expected to start in the second round.
“Korneeva and Navarro Set for Canadian Open Second Round Clash Amidst Recent Form Swings”
Model probabilities Alina Korneeva 36.7% · Emma Navarro 63.3% Why Emma Navarro is favoured Emma Navarro's Elo (1593) is +49 over Alina Korneeva (1544); high confidence. +EV vs market away: model 63.3% vs market 54.0% (edge +17.3%, suggested Kelly +17.5% of bankroll). News context Korneeva and Navarro Set for Canadian Open Second Round Clash Amidst Recent Form Swings Alina Korneeva: Alina Korneeva recently advanced to the second round of the Canadian Open after her opponent retired, showcasing strong form. The 19-year-old has been performing well, having secured a WTA 125 title earlier this year and reaching a semi-final last month. Emma Navarro: Emma Navarro received a bye in the first round of the Canadian Open, entering the tournament fresh. Her form has significantly improved after taking time off earlier in the year due to undisclosed health struggles, recently securing her second WTA Tour title.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.