Model probabilities Luca Van Assche 40.4% · Dusan Lajovic 59.6% Why Dusan Lajovic is favoured Luca Van Assche's Elo (1473) is +17 over Dusan Lajovic (1455); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 55.2% home · Platt-calibrated down to 40.4% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.