Model probabilities Botic van de Zandschulp 46.4% · Alexander Shevchenko 53.6% Why Alexander Shevchenko is favoured Botic van de Zandschulp's Elo (1618) is +66 over Alexander Shevchenko (1552); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 67.6% home · Platt-calibrated down to 46.4% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.