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The Board›Tennis · ATP Canadian Open›Fixture File

Sat, Aug 1 · 18:30

▸ Fixture fileSat, Aug 1 · 18:30

Benjamin Bonzi
vs Hugo Dellien_

▸ Sealed before kickoff4.9h before kickoff2026-08-01 13:33 UTC

High confidence

modest rating gap · strong sample · confident top pick

Form & matchup

Benjamin Bonzi

Elo 1538

No recent matches on file.

Hugo Dellien

Elo 1414

No recent matches on file.

Rating edge

Benjamin Bonzi +124

Model probability

v0.1.0-elo-logistic · 8/1/2026, 1:33:04 PM

Benjamin Bonzi

78.6%

Hugo Dellien

21.4%

Edge vs market

Benjamin Bonzifair

Model

78.6%

Fair market

79.2%

Edge

-0.7%

Kelly (capped 25%)

0.0%

Fair price: 1.26

Hugo Dellienfair

Model

21.4%

Fair market

20.8%

Edge

+2.8%

Kelly (capped 25%)

0.0%

Fair price: 4.81

Market: Pinnacle · 8/1/2026, 12:50:18 PM

0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden

Bankroll & staking

Bankroll$1,000

Kelly fraction25%

Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.

Suggested stake

$0.00

Line (est.)

1.21

Profit if win

+$0.00

Expected value

+$0.00

Model probability: 78.6% · fair market: 79.2% · edge: -0.7%

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Reasoning

Model probabilities
  Benjamin Bonzi 78.6% · Hugo Dellien 21.4%

Why Benjamin Bonzi is favoured
  Benjamin Bonzi's Elo (1553) is +139 over Hugo Dellien (1414); high confidence.

Market check
  No +EV edge — book has the price right at these odds.

Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.

Benjamin Bonzivs Hugo Dellien_

Form & matchup

Benjamin Bonzi

Hugo Dellien

Edge vs market

Bankroll & staking

Reasoning

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Benjamin Bonzi
vs Hugo Dellien_