Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Jiri Lehecka
To win
+$9.40
Total payout
$29.40
Joint prob
86.5%
Combined odds
1.47
Fair odds
1.16
Edge
+27.2%
Expected value: +$5.44 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$5.44 on a $20 stake.
Market: Betfair ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 86.5% · fair market: 62.6% · edge: +38.2%
Jiri Lehecka recently secured a confident win at the National Bank Open, defeating Vit Kopriva in straight sets. He is currently ranked 12th in the ATP.
Lineup: Expected to start.
Alexander Blockx advanced to the third round of the ATP Canadian Open via a walkover on August 4, 2026. He has shown a significant rise in his ranking over the past two years, currently at world No. 32.
Lineup: Expected to start.
“Jiri Lehecka enters Canadian Open match against Alexander Blockx with recent win, while Blockx advanced via walkover.”
Model probabilities Jiri Lehecka 86.5% · Alexander Blockx 13.5% Why Jiri Lehecka is favoured Jiri Lehecka's Elo (1733) is +235 over Alexander Blockx (1498); high confidence. +EV vs market home: model 86.5% vs market 62.6% (edge +38.2%, suggested Kelly +25.0% of bankroll). News context Jiri Lehecka enters Canadian Open match against Alexander Blockx with recent win, while Blockx advanced via walkover. Jiri Lehecka: Jiri Lehecka recently secured a confident win at the National Bank Open, defeating Vit Kopriva in straight sets. He is currently ranked 12th in the ATP. Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx advanced to the third round of the ATP Canadian Open via a walkover on August 4, 2026. He has shown a significant rise in his ranking over the past two years, currently at world No. 32.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.