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The Board›Tennis · WTA Cincinnati Open›Fixture File

Thu, Aug 13 · 02:30

▸ Fixture fileThu, Aug 13 · 02:30

Eva Lys
vs Anna Blinkova_

▸ Sealed before kickoff2.5h before kickoff2026-08-13 00:02 UTC

Moderate confidence

modest rating gap · strong sample · leaning but close

Form & matchup

Eva Lys

Elo 1616

No recent matches on file.

Anna Blinkova

Elo 1495

No recent matches on file.

Rating edge

Eva Lys +121

Model probability

v0.1.0-elo-logistic · 8/13/2026, 12:02:39 AM

Eva Lys

52.3%

Anna Blinkova

47.7%

Edge vs market

Eva Lysfair

Model

52.3%

Fair market

53.4%

Edge

-1.9%

Kelly (capped 25%)

0.0%

Fair price: 1.87

Anna Blinkovafair

Model

47.7%

Fair market

46.6%

Edge

+2.2%

Kelly (capped 25%)

0.0%

Fair price: 2.14

Market: Pinnacle · 8/12/2026, 6:31:13 PM

0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden

Bankroll & staking

Bankroll$1,000

Kelly fraction25%

Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.

Suggested stake

$0.00

Line (est.)

1.81

Profit if win

+$0.00

Expected value

+$0.00

Model probability: 52.3% · fair market: 53.4% · edge: -1.9%

News context not yet populated for this match. Click Regenerate below to run a fresh Gemini grounded-search pass — costs one API call.

Reasoning

Model probabilities
  Eva Lys 52.3% · Anna Blinkova 47.7%

Why Eva Lys is favoured
  Eva Lys's Elo (1616) is +131 over Anna Blinkova (1485); high confidence.

Calibration
  Raw model: 77.7% home · Platt-calibrated down to 52.3% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.

Market check
  No +EV edge — book has the price right at these odds.

Rate-limited per match. Generation cost is shared across all visitors.

Eva Lysvs Anna Blinkova_

Form & matchup

Eva Lys

Anna Blinkova

Edge vs market

Bankroll & staking

Reasoning

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Eva Lys
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