Model probabilities Alexander Zverev 71.8% · Alejandro Tabilo 28.2% Why Alexander Zverev is favoured Alexander Zverev's Elo (1883) is +318 over Alejandro Tabilo (1566); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 91.0% home · Platt-calibrated down to 71.8% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.