▸ Sealed before kickoff1.9h before kickoff2026-08-05 20:03 UTC· result settled — verifiable
78%
High confidence
modest rating gap · strong sample · confident top pick
How the model did
Final
0 — 2
Botic van de Zandschulp won
✕ Model was wrong
Model assigned
13.3%
to botic van de zandschulp
Model's top pick
home
top probability
Brier (↓ better)
1.504
Log loss (↓ better)
2.019
Graded Aug 6, 2026 · 04:01
Form & matchup
Daniil Medvedev
Elo 1779
No recent matches on file.
Botic van de Zandschulp
Elo 1627
No recent matches on file.
Rating edge
Daniil Medvedev +152
Confidence: 100%
Head to head
No prior meetings on file.
Rest days
Daniil Medvedev
–
Botic van de Zandschulp
–
Model probability
v0.1.0-elo-logistic ·
Daniil Medvedev
86.7%
Botic van de Zandschulp
13.3%
0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden
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Reasoning
Model probabilities
Daniil Medvedev 86.7% · Botic van de Zandschulp 13.3%
Why Daniil Medvedev is favoured
Daniil Medvedev's Elo (1826) is +238 over Botic van de Zandschulp (1588); high confidence.
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