Single · moneyline
Sharpest call · Viktorija Golubic
To win
+$218.00
Total payout
$238.00
Joint prob
9.9%
Combined odds
11.90
Fair odds
10.14
Edge
+17.4%
Expected value: +$3.48 on a $20 stake.
Expected value: +$3.48 on a $20 stake.
Market: Pinnacle ·
Quarter-Kelly (25%) is the common safe default. Full Kelly is mathematically optimal but volatile.
Model probability: 9.9% · fair market: 8.2% · edge: +20.6%
Viktorija Golubic, currently ranked 51st in the WTA, has advanced to the second round of the Canadian Open. She recently defeated Kimberly Birrell in a hard-fought match.
Lineup: Viktorija Golubic is expected to be the sole starter for her side in this singles match.
Iga Swiatek, currently ranked 8th in the WTA and seeded 7th at the Canadian Open, has begun her hard-court season strongly. She secured a decisive 6-0, 6-3 victory over Sara Bejlek in her opening match.
Lineup: Iga Swiatek is expected to be the sole starter for her side in this singles match.
“Iga Swiatek enters Canadian Open third round with dominant win, set to face Viktorija Golubic who also secured a recent victory.”
Model probabilities Viktorija Golubic 9.9% · Iga Swiatek 90.1% Why Iga Swiatek is favoured Iga Swiatek's Elo (1864) is +299 over Viktorija Golubic (1565); high confidence. +EV vs market home: model 9.9% vs market 8.2% (edge +20.6%, suggested Kelly +1.6% of bankroll). News context Iga Swiatek enters Canadian Open third round with dominant win, set to face Viktorija Golubic who also secured a recent victory. Viktorija Golubic: Viktorija Golubic, currently ranked 51st in the WTA, has advanced to the second round of the Canadian Open. She recently defeated Kimberly Birrell in a hard-fought match. Iga Swiatek: Iga Swiatek, currently ranked 8th in the WTA and seeded 7th at the Canadian Open, has begun her hard-court season strongly. She secured a decisive 6-0, 6-3 victory over Sara Bejlek in her opening match.
No-vig implied probabilities from recorded snapshots. Line moving toward one side means the market is re-pricing in that team's favour — compare to the model to see who's ahead.