Model probabilities Xiyu Wang 41.1% · Polina Kudermetova 58.9% Why Polina Kudermetova is favoured Xiyu Wang's Elo (1474) is +23 over Polina Kudermetova (1451); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 56.7% home · Platt-calibrated down to 41.1% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.