▸ Sealed before kickoff1.3h before kickoff2026-08-05 18:32 UTC· result settled — verifiable
45%
Moderate confidence
ratings essentially level · strong sample · leaning but close
How the model did
Final
0 — 2
Terence Atmane won
✕ Model was wrong
Model assigned
38.1%
to terence atmane
Model's top pick
home
top probability
Brier (↓ better)
0.767
Log loss (↓ better)
0.965
Graded Aug 6, 2026 · 04:01
Form & matchup
Karen Khachanov
Elo 1563
No recent matches on file.
Terence Atmane
Elo 1579
No recent matches on file.
Rating edge
Terence Atmane +17
Confidence: 100%
Head to head
No prior meetings on file.
Rest days
Karen Khachanov
–
Terence Atmane
–
Model probability
v0.1.0-elo-logistic ·
Karen Khachanov
61.9%
Terence Atmane
38.1%
0 priced, 11 markets without prices hidden
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Reasoning
Model probabilities
Karen Khachanov 61.9% · Terence Atmane 38.1%
Why Karen Khachanov is favoured
Karen Khachanov's Elo (1601) is +42 over Terence Atmane (1560); high confidence.
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