Model probabilities Roman Andres Burruchaga 36.7% · Jan-Lennard Struff 63.3% Why Jan-Lennard Struff is favoured Jan-Lennard Struff's Elo (1507) is +11 over Roman Andres Burruchaga (1496); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 46.8% home · Platt-calibrated down to 36.7% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.