Model probabilities Yannick Hanfmann 51.3% · Luca Van Assche 48.7% Why Yannick Hanfmann is favoured Yannick Hanfmann's Elo (1591) is +118 over Luca Van Assche (1473); high confidence. Calibration Raw model: 76.2% home · Platt-calibrated down to 51.3% based on historical reliability across this sport's graded matches.