Model probabilities Milwaukee Bucks 72.1% · Chicago Bulls 27.9% Why Milwaukee Bucks is favoured Milwaukee Bucks's Elo (1316) is +47 over Chicago Bulls (1269); high confidence. Recent: Milwaukee Bucks 2W-8L · Chicago Bulls 5W-5L (last 10). Point differential per game: Milwaukee Bucks -7.0, Chicago Bulls -4.5. Form depth Milwaukee Bucks: avg 106.6 pts scored, 113.6 conceded per game (2/7 at home, 0/3 on the road). Chicago Bulls: avg 112.1 pts scored, 116.6 conceded per game (3/5 at home, 2/5 on the road). Milwaukee Bucks on a 2-match losing streak. But — counter-arguments Chicago Bulls has a stronger recent record (50% vs 20%) — model favours Milwaukee Bucks on Elo + home advantage despite the form gap.