Skip to content
  • Brief
  • +EV
  • Picks
  • Accuracy
  • Settings
Bankroll
$1000.00
Today
+0.00
Risk
0.0%
Open
0
7-day
+0.00
betsetgo
The Board1Fixtures2My Picks3Accuracy4News5Method
Search · Jump⌘K
Per-market scorecard · last 90 days · auto-graded

Where the model is actually sharp.

← Overall
Predictions graded
138
Overall hit rate
29.1%
Mean Brier (↓)
0.158
Realised edge (priced)
+0.0%
Pending
42
Market
n
Hit rate
Pushes
Pending
Mean Brier
Realised edge
Double chance
9
66.7%
0
0
0.193
–
Draw no bet
6
50.0%
2
0
0.111
–
Both teams to score
9
22.2%
0
0
0.183
–
Goals — over / under
9
44.4%
0
0
0.248
–
Asian handicap
39
21.6%
2
0
0.132
–
Team totals (goals)
18
38.9%
0
0
0.215
–
First half markets
9
33.3%
0
0
0.209
–
Half-time / full-time
27
11.1%
0
0
0.090
–
Clean sheets
6
50.0%
0
0
0.284
–
Win to nil
6
16.7%
0
0
0.089
–
Corners
27
0.0%
0
27
–
–
Cards
15
0.0%
0
15
–
–

Each row is built from every YES/OVER prediction the model emitted in the last 90 days that has a settled outcome.
Hit rate excludes pushes (stake refunded). A perfectly calibrated model has hit rate ≈ mean modelProb across the bucket. Mean Brier is the average squared error of the YES probability — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin-flip baseline. Realised edge is the average flat-stake return per priced pick: positive means the model beat the book's price after the fact.

42predictions still pending — usually corners / cards (need API-Football key) or NBA player props that we haven't yet stored player IDs for.